Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.379178 0.419430 0.462648 0.512586 0.568799 0.630234 0.702615
2025-05-04 0.315554 0.371556 0.436138 0.516482 0.614250 0.729981 0.878272
2025-05-11 0.278168 0.341329 0.417712 0.517604 0.645843 0.806356 1.024692
2025-05-18 0.253315 0.321352 0.406866 0.523383 0.679769 0.884923 1.178589
2025-05-25 0.227321 0.296331 0.385860 0.512068 0.687895 0.927904 1.286820
2025-06-01 0.212732 0.284340 0.379997 0.519189 0.720015 1.004683 1.448616
2025-06-08 0.196827 0.268858 0.367563 0.515243 0.735022 1.057217 1.579036
2025-06-15 0.185621 0.258767 0.361433 0.519144 0.760898 1.126970 1.742034
2025-06-22 0.172472 0.244756 0.348370 0.511287 0.767673 1.167323 1.861461
2025-06-29 0.161589 0.233171 0.337827 0.506044 0.777476 1.212489 1.992653
2025-07-06 0.147921 0.216465 0.318365 0.485237 0.760300 1.211757 2.044151
2025-07-13 0.141933 0.210962 0.315505 0.490315 0.785450 1.283075 2.230012
2025-07-20 0.136241 0.205669 0.312781 0.495681 0.812040 1.360259 2.437773
2025-07-27 0.130653 0.200178 0.309363 0.499601 0.836459 1.435990 2.652418
2025-08-03 0.124973 0.194138 0.304574 0.500671 0.855674 1.503721 2.859214
2025-08-10 0.120636 0.189982 0.302545 0.506235 0.883257 1.589335 3.112634
2025-08-17 0.113594 0.180922 0.291705 0.495342 0.879311 1.613993 3.240981
2025-08-24 0.110247 0.177847 0.290809 0.502198 0.909319 1.707784 3.530441
2025-08-31 0.105333 0.171810 0.284398 0.498399 0.918280 1.759899 3.733471
2025-09-07 0.101997 0.168296 0.282162 0.502154 0.942306 1.845095 4.023622
2025-09-14 0.097126 0.161830 0.274283 0.494590 0.942803 1.880503 4.200106
2025-09-21 0.092960 0.156393 0.267947 0.489544 0.947986 1.926373 4.408138
2025-09-28 0.086903 0.147282 0.254420 0.469510 0.920230 1.896975 4.423134